
Important Statistics (2018-19 Season)- Winslow has missed 18 of Miami’s last 19 games with a back injury. He has only appeared in 11 games this season.
Positives
- 29.7 minutes per game
- 37.5% from three (40.6% when not taking a dribble)
- 5.4 rebounds per game
- 4.3 assists per game
- 1.1 steals per game
Negatives
- 43.3% field goal percentage (best of his career)
- 62.8% free throw percentage (on only 2.1 attempts per game)
- 2.2 turnovers per game
- 1.99 assist to turnover ratio
- Only shot >35% on jumpers outside of 10 feet when defenders were 6+ feet away from him (wide open)
Offense
Strengths
- Ball Security
- Vision
- Finishing With Both Hands
- Initial Burst Off The Dribble
- Getting Downhill
- Post-Up game
- Euro-Step And Side-Step To Get To The Rim
- Elevating To Dunk
- Running In Transition
- Catch And Shoot Open Three
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow’s full-court playmaking in this series has been unbelievably valuable. Key to the Heat’s selective transition. pic.twitter.com/RNe5wleqTG
— Couper Moorhead (@CoupNBA) April 25, 2018
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow continued his tough and gritty play Wednesday vs the Raptors.
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) December 27, 2018
21 points (9-16 FG), 4 assists, 2 rebounds and a steal to close the night.
🔥🎥 #HEATHighlights pic.twitter.com/nv4ANqgt1c
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsdid NOT know Justise Winslow had these kinda dimes in his bag 😳 (via @nba) pic.twitter.com/Xo9hl8koeC
— SLAM (@SLAMonline) March 5, 2019
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow…my goodness!pic.twitter.com/0UTUxfiX95
— The Recline (@TheRecline) March 6, 2018
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow went off for a #NBAPlayoffs career-high 19 PTS in the 1st half of Game 3! 🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/UdE1ZZmvyY
— NBA TV (@NBATV) April 20, 2018
Weaknesses
- Mid-Range & Three-Point Shooting (Especially Off The Dribble)
- Free Throw Shooting
- Finishing Around Shot Blockers
- Pick & Roll Scoring
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsWinslow not exactly confident with his shot if he can’t even take this end of quarter 3-pointer pic.twitter.com/q1yOpl6FEK
— Mika Honkasalo (@mhonkasalo) October 27, 2016
Defense
Strengths
- Quick Laterally (Keeps Guards In Front Of Him And Gets Over Screens)
- Stays Balanced And In Good Position
- Correct Positioning When Rotating And Switching
- Jumping In The Passing Lanes
- Sleight Of Hand
- Getting Over Screens
- Digging In The Post
- High Motor
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsEnjoy Justise Winslow’s defense. pic.twitter.com/OXM2QGURxK
— Couper Moorhead (@CoupNBA) October 26, 2019
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow throws down the hammer!https://t.co/WqJDk2Th0r
— Bleacher Report NBA (@BR_NBA) December 23, 2015
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsOne change for Miami in Game 2 was using plenty of full-court defense, trying to slow down Ben Simmons and force the ball to others.
— Tom West (@TomWestNBA) April 18, 2018
This sequence was just fantastic defense by Justise Winslow, getting super physical and smothering Simmons before drawing an offensive foul. pic.twitter.com/SEHEVV0MQe
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsMiami gets the stop via the Niko miss, but LOOK AT JUSTISE WINSLOW SINGLE HANDEDLY SHUT DOWN “ELEVATOR” pic.twitter.com/ki1GZBnZiu
— [insert doppelganger here] (@NekiasNBA) March 12, 2016
Weaknesses
- Over Aggressive (Leads To Being Beat Off The Dribble)
- Lacks Strength Against Big Wings
- Lacks Acceleration Against Quick Point Guards
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsThere’s a risk-reward element to Justise Winslow, though. In the ensuing defensive possession, he fronted Ben Simmons at halfcourt and was blown by for a layup. The result was a missed shot, followed by a Winslow rebound, but the defense was compromised. pic.twitter.com/8is3aHAIkv
— Positive Residual (@presidual) April 17, 2018
https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.jsJustise Winslow picked up Bron full court.
— ESPN (@espn) December 11, 2018
That didn’t end well for him. pic.twitter.com/MEnChQYHOL
Fit With The Knicks
Offensively
Justise Winslow’s offensive game is very similar to RJ Barrett’s. Winslow can drive to the basket and use his size to score, while also being a nice catch and shoot option on the perimeter. Both players can finish with both hands and utilize post-ups, euro-steps, and side-steps often when attacking the rim. They have the same major flaw in their game as well; shooting off the dribble. Barrett does get to the line more frequently than Winslow (4.5 times per game compared to 2.1), but both shoot under 70% from the charity stripe. Although Winslow can play positions 1-3, he has played his best basketball at point guard. Barrett, the Knicks prized possession, projects to play the majority of his minutes at shooting guard for the foreseeable future. A backcourt comprised of the two, would likely not fit offensively, plagued by spacing and shooting struggles. However, if both players significantly can improve their shooting off the dribble, the duo could work. Winslow and Barrett are both notorious for their work ethic and are very young (23 and 19 years old respectively), making the possibility of improved shooting likely. The two would have a larger likelihood to succeed together, if they were surrounded by shooting and an athletic Center (to run the pick and roll with). Kevin Knox and Mitchell Robinson would be two pieces from the Knicks core that fit nicely and could grow with them. It is also worth noting that Justise Winslow crashes the boards (averaging 5 rebounds per game) and pushes the ball in transition well. This would be beneficial to New York, as they average only 10.2 fast break points per game (29th in the NBA).
Defensively
The Knicks have been plagued by poor, perimeter defense, all season. New York owns a defensive rating of 113.1 (28th in the NBA). This is remarkable considering the Knicks only allow opponents to score 43.3 points per game, inside the paint (4th in the NBA). Justise Winslow would enhance the Knicks defense significantly in many facets, but especially in locking up the three-point line. New York is currently last in the NBA, allowing opponents to shoot 39% from three. In 2018-19, Winslow owned a defensive rating of 104.2, 40th in the NBA for players averaging at least 15 minutes per game. Winslow contained opponents to shoot 41.2% from 5-9 feet, 25.9% from 10-14 feet, 36.6% from 20-24 feet, and 28.2% from 25-29 feet. He can guard positions 1-3 and would have a major impact on the Knicks defense. Winslow is quick enough and strong enough to stick with most players, while displaying impressive fundamentals and instincts. A pairing of Frank Ntilikina and Justise Winslow in the backcourt would have the capability of slowing down any backcourt duo in the league. Couple that with Mitchell Robinson manning the paint and the Knicks could go from having one of the worst defenses in the NBA, to owning a very formidable one.
Trade Packages
Miami has one of the best shooting teams in the league (4th in FG% and 2nd in 3P%). The Heat’s flaws are displayed in their lack of rebounding (16th in rebounding) and shot blocking (27th in blocks), along with turning the ball over too often (27th in turnovers). The Heat would likely have interest in the Knicks top scorers, veterans Marcus Morris Sr. and Julius Randle. They also could have interest in Elfrid Payton, Bobby Portis, and Taj Gibson to help them with rebounding, ball security, and interior defense. With the emergence of Bam Adebayo coupled with positive minutes from James Johnson and Meyers Leonard, the Heat have no use for Kelly Olynyk. Olynyk provides impressive three-point shooting (40%), but is a subpar rebounder (4.5 per game) and only blocks 0.3 shots per game. Bobby Portis could replace him, averaging 10 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Taj Gibson is another option, averaging 11 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 0.8 blocks per 36 minutes. Elfrid Payton owns an impressive 3.11 assist to turnover ratio and would be a nice fit next to Goran Dragic off the bench. The Heat may have interest in moving Dion Waiters who has been suspended by the team for violating a team policy. The Knicks likely will have some interest in adding Olynyk and Waiters to bolster their perimeter shooting (25th in the NBA in 3P%).
Julius Randle Trade
Miami Receives- Julius Randle & Elfrid Payton
New York Receives- Justice Winslow & Kelly Olynyk
Marcus Morris Sr. Trade
Miami Receives- Marcus Morris Sr. & Wayne Ellington
New York Receives- Justise Winslow & Dion Waiters
Bobby Portis Trade
Miami Receives- Bobby Portis & Elfrid Payton
New York Receives- Justice Winslow & Dion Waiters
Elfrid Payton & Taj Gibson Trade
Miami Receives- Elfrid Payton, Taj Gibson, Wayne Ellington, & Charlotte 2020 2nd Round Pick
New York Receives- Justice Winslow & Dion Waiters